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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.31+2.11vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.69+2.40vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08+2.85vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College0.43+1.02vs Predicted
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5Olin College of Engineering0.52-0.23vs Predicted
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6McGill University0.70-1.61vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.91+1.16vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University-0.61-0.48vs Predicted
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9Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.83+1.16vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-0.77vs Predicted
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11Bates College-0.59-3.34vs Predicted
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12Bentley University-0.64-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11Salve Regina University1.310.3%1st Place
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4.4Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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5.85University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.1%1st Place
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5.02Middlebury College0.430.1%1st Place
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4.77Olin College of Engineering0.520.1%1st Place
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4.39McGill University0.700.1%1st Place
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8.16University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.910.0%1st Place
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7.52Brandeis University-0.610.0%1st Place
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10.16Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.830.0%1st Place
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9.23Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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7.66Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
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7.73Bentley University-0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Lowthian | 25.7% | 19.6% | 20.6% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Nolan Cooper | 12.8% | 15.9% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| William Delong | 8.4% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Walter Chiles | 9.7% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| James Jagielski | 12.1% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Genevieve Lau | 14.2% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 15.0% | 15.8% | 11.7% |
| Myles Hazen | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 7.1% |
| Owen Peterson | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 18.6% | 42.7% |
| Jackson Harney | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 14.8% | 22.4% | 23.1% |
| Colby Green | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 7.5% |
| Andrew Blagden | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.