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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.31+2.13vs Predicted
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2McGill University0.70+2.40vs Predicted
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3Olin College of Engineering0.52+1.79vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College0.43+1.08vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08+0.85vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.59+1.58vs Predicted
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7Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36+2.20vs Predicted
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8Bentley University-0.64-0.43vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University0.69-4.79vs Predicted
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10Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.83+0.09vs Predicted
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11Brandeis University-0.61-3.27vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.91-3.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13Salve Regina University1.310.2%1st Place
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4.4McGill University0.700.1%1st Place
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4.79Olin College of Engineering0.520.1%1st Place
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5.08Middlebury College0.430.1%1st Place
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5.85University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.1%1st Place
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7.58Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
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9.2Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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7.57Bentley University-0.640.0%1st Place
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4.21Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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10.09Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.830.0%1st Place
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7.73Brandeis University-0.610.0%1st Place
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8.37University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Lowthian | 24.9% | 21.0% | 17.9% | 13.9% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Genevieve Lau | 13.5% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| James Jagielski | 13.0% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Walter Chiles | 9.3% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| William Delong | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Colby Green | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 6.7% |
| Jackson Harney | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 14.6% | 20.5% | 24.3% |
| Andrew Blagden | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 5.4% |
| Nolan Cooper | 13.8% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Owen Peterson | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 19.2% | 43.0% |
| Myles Hazen | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 6.9% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 16.8% | 16.1% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.