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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.69+3.46vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering0.52+2.83vs Predicted
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3Brandeis University-0.61+4.55vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08+1.85vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.31-1.87vs Predicted
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6McGill University0.70-1.63vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College0.43-2.03vs Predicted
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8Bentley University-0.64-0.45vs Predicted
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9Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.83+1.17vs Predicted
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10Bates College-0.59-2.60vs Predicted
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11Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-1.59vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.91-3.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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4.83Olin College of Engineering0.520.1%1st Place
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7.55Brandeis University-0.610.0%1st Place
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5.85University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.1%1st Place
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3.13Salve Regina University1.310.3%1st Place
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4.37McGill University0.700.1%1st Place
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4.97Middlebury College0.430.1%1st Place
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7.55Bentley University-0.640.0%1st Place
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10.17Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.830.0%1st Place
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7.4Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
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9.41Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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8.32University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Cooper | 13.4% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| James Jagielski | 10.6% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Myles Hazen | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 6.1% |
| William Delong | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 26.2% | 23.0% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Genevieve Lau | 13.9% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Walter Chiles | 11.6% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Blagden | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 6.7% |
| Owen Peterson | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 19.8% | 41.7% |
| Colby Green | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 5.5% |
| Jackson Harney | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 10.5% | 15.5% | 20.3% | 26.7% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 16.4% | 16.9% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.