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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.69+3.44vs Predicted
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2McGill University0.70+2.33vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08+2.83vs Predicted
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4Olin College of Engineering0.52+0.74vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.31-1.89vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College0.43-1.02vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University-0.61+0.39vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.91+0.19vs Predicted
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9Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36+0.27vs Predicted
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10Bentley University-0.86-1.98vs Predicted
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11Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.83-0.77vs Predicted
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12Bates College-0.59-4.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.44Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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4.33McGill University0.700.1%1st Place
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5.83University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.1%1st Place
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4.74Olin College of Engineering0.520.1%1st Place
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3.11Salve Regina University1.310.3%1st Place
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4.98Middlebury College0.430.1%1st Place
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7.39Brandeis University-0.610.0%1st Place
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8.19University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.910.0%1st Place
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9.27Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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8.02Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
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10.23Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.830.0%1st Place
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7.48Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Cooper | 12.6% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Genevieve Lau | 13.3% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 13.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Delong | 8.4% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| James Jagielski | 10.4% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 26.5% | 21.9% | 16.6% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walter Chiles | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Myles Hazen | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 6.5% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 15.2% | 17.7% | 11.1% |
| Jackson Harney | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 15.6% | 22.0% | 21.2% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 8.8% |
| Owen Peterson | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 17.8% | 45.7% |
| Colby Green | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.