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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.31+2.09vs Predicted
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2McGill University0.70+2.32vs Predicted
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3Olin College of Engineering0.52+1.77vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.69+0.33vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08+0.85vs Predicted
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6Brandeis University-0.61+1.58vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College0.43-2.14vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.91+0.19vs Predicted
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9Bates College-0.59-1.61vs Predicted
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10Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.83+0.05vs Predicted
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11Bentley University-0.86-2.74vs Predicted
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12Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09Salve Regina University1.310.3%1st Place
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4.32McGill University0.700.1%1st Place
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4.77Olin College of Engineering0.520.1%1st Place
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4.33Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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5.85University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.1%1st Place
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7.58Brandeis University-0.610.0%1st Place
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4.86Middlebury College0.430.1%1st Place
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8.19University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.910.0%1st Place
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7.39Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
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10.05Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.830.0%1st Place
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8.26Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
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9.3Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Lowthian | 25.2% | 22.0% | 17.7% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Genevieve Lau | 13.0% | 16.3% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| James Jagielski | 12.8% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Nolan Cooper | 13.6% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| William Delong | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Myles Hazen | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 6.2% |
| Walter Chiles | 12.7% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 2.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 15.9% | 10.5% |
| Colby Green | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 4.4% |
| Owen Peterson | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 18.2% | 42.1% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 15.0% | 10.7% |
| Jackson Harney | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 20.6% | 24.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.