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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.62+2.09vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College-0.26+2.86vs Predicted
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3Bentley University-0.39+2.17vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95+2.52vs Predicted
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5McGill University-0.61+0.72vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.56-0.38vs Predicted
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7Olin College of Engineering-1.07-0.29vs Predicted
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8Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.82+0.36vs Predicted
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9Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.82-0.62vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University-2.77+0.12vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.01-0.37vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University0.82-9.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09Salve Regina University0.620.2%1st Place
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4.86Middlebury College-0.260.1%1st Place
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5.17Bentley University-0.390.1%1st Place
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6.52University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.0%1st Place
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5.72McGill University-0.610.1%1st Place
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5.62Bates College-0.560.1%1st Place
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6.71Olin College of Engineering-1.070.0%1st Place
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8.36Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.820.0%1st Place
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8.38Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.820.0%1st Place
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10.12Brandeis University-2.770.0%1st Place
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10.63University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.010.0%1st Place
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2.82Fairfield University0.820.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 24.2% | 20.8% | 20.5% | 14.1% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Penelope Weekes | 8.9% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John O'Connell | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Kai Latham | 3.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 5.0% | 0.7% |
| Curtis Mallory | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Greta Shuster | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Ely | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Jessica Elmhurst | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 19.5% | 16.4% | 7.9% |
| Jason Dank | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 19.7% | 17.0% | 5.9% |
| Mirra Blehert | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 14.6% | 25.5% | 34.9% |
| Sara Donahue | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 24.9% | 48.0% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 29.3% | 23.9% | 16.0% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.