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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.62+2.19vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.82+0.80vs Predicted
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3Bentley University-0.39+2.16vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.61+1.70vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.56+0.60vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95+0.46vs Predicted
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7Olin College of Engineering-1.07-0.26vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-0.26-3.25vs Predicted
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9Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.82-0.61vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.82-1.61vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.01-0.41vs Predicted
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12Brandeis University-2.77-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19Salve Regina University0.620.2%1st Place
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2.8Fairfield University0.820.3%1st Place
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5.16Bentley University-0.390.1%1st Place
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5.7McGill University-0.610.1%1st Place
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5.6Bates College-0.560.1%1st Place
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6.46University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.1%1st Place
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6.74Olin College of Engineering-1.070.0%1st Place
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4.75Middlebury College-0.260.1%1st Place
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8.39Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.820.0%1st Place
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8.39Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.820.0%1st Place
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10.59University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.010.0%1st Place
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10.24Brandeis University-2.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 21.7% | 21.4% | 20.3% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 28.2% | 26.4% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John O'Connell | 10.1% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Curtis Mallory | 5.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Greta Shuster | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Kai Latham | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 0.6% |
| Benjamin Ely | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 10.3% | 5.5% | 2.0% |
| Penelope Weekes | 11.5% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Jessica Elmhurst | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 20.9% | 14.8% | 7.1% |
| Jason Dank | 2.0% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 11.0% | 16.2% | 19.8% | 16.4% | 7.1% |
| Sara Donahue | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 25.7% | 46.2% |
| Mirra Blehert | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 14.6% | 26.8% | 36.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.