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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.82+1.76vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.62+1.04vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95+3.51vs Predicted
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4Olin College of Engineering-1.07+2.80vs Predicted
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5Bentley University-0.39+0.04vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.56-0.48vs Predicted
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7Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.82+1.00vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-0.26-3.31vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.61-3.34vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.82-1.94vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.01-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.76Fairfield University0.820.3%1st Place
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3.04Salve Regina University0.620.3%1st Place
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6.51University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.0%1st Place
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6.8Olin College of Engineering-1.070.0%1st Place
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5.04Bentley University-0.390.1%1st Place
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5.52Bates College-0.560.1%1st Place
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8.0Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.820.0%1st Place
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4.69Middlebury College-0.260.1%1st Place
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5.66McGill University-0.610.1%1st Place
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8.06Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.820.0%1st Place
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9.91University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Vitiello | 27.4% | 23.6% | 19.4% | 15.5% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 25.9% | 21.2% | 17.5% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Latham | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 15.4% | 9.2% | 3.5% |
| Benjamin Ely | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 11.3% | 4.6% |
| John O'Connell | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Greta Shuster | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 0.9% |
| Jessica Elmhurst | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 12.6% | 18.1% | 23.8% | 13.1% |
| Penelope Weekes | 10.6% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Curtis Mallory | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 1.7% |
| Jason Dank | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 13.0% | 17.9% | 25.0% | 12.6% |
| Sara Donahue | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 13.9% | 62.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.