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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Olin College of Engineering-1.07+5.74vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.82+0.73vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.62+0.15vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-0.26+0.95vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.56+0.47vs Predicted
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6McGill University-0.61-0.36vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95-0.83vs Predicted
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8Bentley University-0.39-3.05vs Predicted
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9Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.82-0.80vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.82-1.95vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.01-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.74Olin College of Engineering-1.070.0%1st Place
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2.73Fairfield University0.820.3%1st Place
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3.15Salve Regina University0.620.2%1st Place
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4.95Middlebury College-0.260.1%1st Place
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5.47Bates College-0.560.1%1st Place
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5.64McGill University-0.610.1%1st Place
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6.17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.1%1st Place
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4.95Bentley University-0.390.1%1st Place
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8.2Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.820.0%1st Place
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8.05Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.820.0%1st Place
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9.95University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Ely | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 16.8% | 9.7% | 3.6% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 30.8% | 23.6% | 17.1% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 21.0% | 24.2% | 16.6% | 15.5% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Penelope Weekes | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Greta Shuster | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 0.8% |
| Curtis Mallory | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 1.4% |
| Kai Latham | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 2.3% |
| John O'Connell | 9.1% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Jessica Elmhurst | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 18.0% | 25.9% | 15.0% |
| Jason Dank | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 24.7% | 13.2% |
| Sara Donahue | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 15.3% | 62.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.