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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.62+2.10vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.82+0.74vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95+3.52vs Predicted
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4Bentley University-0.39+1.25vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.56+0.45vs Predicted
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6Olin College of Engineering-1.07+0.66vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.26-2.35vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.61-2.53vs Predicted
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9Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.82-0.83vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.82-1.96vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.01-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1Salve Regina University0.620.2%1st Place
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2.74Fairfield University0.820.3%1st Place
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6.52University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.0%1st Place
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5.25Bentley University-0.390.1%1st Place
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5.45Bates College-0.560.1%1st Place
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6.66Olin College of Engineering-1.070.0%1st Place
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4.65Middlebury College-0.260.1%1st Place
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5.47McGill University-0.610.1%1st Place
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8.17Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.820.0%1st Place
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8.04Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.820.0%1st Place
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9.94University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 21.4% | 24.5% | 17.5% | 15.8% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 31.7% | 21.8% | 16.9% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Latham | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 16.3% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 2.1% |
| John O'Connell | 7.7% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Greta Shuster | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 0.6% |
| Benjamin Ely | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 4.1% |
| Penelope Weekes | 10.4% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Curtis Mallory | 7.8% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Jessica Elmhurst | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 17.8% | 24.4% | 15.0% |
| Jason Dank | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 18.4% | 23.7% | 13.3% |
| Sara Donahue | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 14.6% | 63.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.