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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.82+1.79vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.62+1.03vs Predicted
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3Bentley University-0.39+2.25vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.56+1.64vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95+1.30vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.26-1.16vs Predicted
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7McGill University-0.61-1.58vs Predicted
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8Olin College of Engineering-1.07-1.51vs Predicted
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9Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.82-0.81vs Predicted
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10Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.82-1.92vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.01-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79Fairfield University0.820.3%1st Place
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3.03Salve Regina University0.620.3%1st Place
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5.25Bentley University-0.390.1%1st Place
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5.64Bates College-0.560.1%1st Place
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6.3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.1%1st Place
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4.84Middlebury College-0.260.1%1st Place
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5.42McGill University-0.610.1%1st Place
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6.49Olin College of Engineering-1.070.1%1st Place
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8.19Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.820.0%1st Place
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8.08Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.820.0%1st Place
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9.96University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Vitiello | 27.4% | 23.7% | 19.3% | 14.0% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 25.5% | 22.9% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John O'Connell | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 0.2% |
| Greta Shuster | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 1.0% |
| Kai Latham | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 9.0% | 2.8% |
| Penelope Weekes | 9.7% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Curtis Mallory | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Benjamin Ely | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 11.0% | 2.7% |
| Jason Dank | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 17.9% | 25.5% | 14.8% |
| Jessica Elmhurst | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 17.0% | 24.3% | 13.6% |
| Sara Donahue | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 15.3% | 63.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.