← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fairfield University0.82+1.80vs Predicted
-
2Salve Regina University0.62+1.06vs Predicted
-
3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95+3.50vs Predicted
-
4Bentley University-0.39+1.24vs Predicted
-
5Middlebury College-0.26-0.20vs Predicted
-
6Olin College of Engineering-1.07+0.67vs Predicted
-
7Bates College-0.56-1.67vs Predicted
-
8Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.82+0.03vs Predicted
-
9Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.82-0.81vs Predicted
-
10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.01-0.07vs Predicted
-
11McGill University-0.61-5.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.8Fairfield University0.820.3%1st Place
-
3.06Salve Regina University0.620.3%1st Place
-
6.5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.1%1st Place
-
5.24Bentley University-0.390.1%1st Place
-
4.8Middlebury College-0.260.1%1st Place
-
6.67Olin College of Engineering-1.070.0%1st Place
-
5.33Bates College-0.560.1%1st Place
-
8.03Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.820.0%1st Place
-
8.19Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.820.0%1st Place
-
9.93University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.010.0%1st Place
-
5.44McGill University-0.610.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Vitiello | 28.6% | 22.2% | 18.9% | 14.2% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 25.1% | 22.6% | 16.2% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kai Latham | 5.0% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 9.5% | 2.4% |
| John O'Connell | 7.8% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Penelope Weekes | 9.7% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Benjamin Ely | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 4.3% |
| Greta Shuster | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Jason Dank | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 17.5% | 22.3% | 14.2% |
| Jessica Elmhurst | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 16.8% | 26.1% | 14.8% |
| Sara Donahue | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 16.1% | 61.3% |
| Curtis Mallory | 6.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.