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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.82+1.78vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.62+1.04vs Predicted
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3Bentley University-0.39+2.24vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.56+1.64vs Predicted
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5Olin College of Engineering-1.07+1.61vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95+0.41vs Predicted
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7McGill University-0.61-1.58vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-0.26-3.31vs Predicted
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9Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.82-0.83vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.82-1.94vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.01-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.78Fairfield University0.820.3%1st Place
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3.04Salve Regina University0.620.3%1st Place
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5.24Bentley University-0.390.1%1st Place
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5.64Bates College-0.560.1%1st Place
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6.61Olin College of Engineering-1.070.0%1st Place
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6.41University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.0%1st Place
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5.42McGill University-0.610.1%1st Place
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4.69Middlebury College-0.260.1%1st Place
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8.17Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.820.0%1st Place
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8.06Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.820.0%1st Place
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9.95University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Vitiello | 27.3% | 24.0% | 19.3% | 14.3% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 25.5% | 22.5% | 16.3% | 14.0% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John O'Connell | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 0.1% |
| Greta Shuster | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Benjamin Ely | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 11.4% | 3.3% |
| Kai Latham | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 3.5% |
| Curtis Mallory | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Penelope Weekes | 10.4% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Jessica Elmhurst | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 18.6% | 25.4% | 14.3% |
| Jason Dank | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 18.4% | 23.6% | 13.4% |
| Sara Donahue | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 14.9% | 62.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.