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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.62+2.12vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.82+0.72vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95+3.54vs Predicted
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4Bentley University-0.39+1.29vs Predicted
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5McGill University-0.61+0.62vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.56-0.49vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.26-2.31vs Predicted
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8Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.82+0.05vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering-1.07-2.29vs Predicted
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10Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.41-2.73vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.73-0.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12Salve Regina University0.620.2%1st Place
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2.72Fairfield University0.820.3%1st Place
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6.54University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.0%1st Place
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5.29Bentley University-0.390.1%1st Place
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5.62McGill University-0.610.1%1st Place
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5.51Bates College-0.560.1%1st Place
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4.69Middlebury College-0.260.1%1st Place
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8.05Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.820.0%1st Place
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6.71Olin College of Engineering-1.070.0%1st Place
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7.27Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.410.0%1st Place
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10.47University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 22.6% | 22.1% | 17.2% | 16.2% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 31.0% | 23.1% | 16.8% | 13.3% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Latham | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 16.9% | 15.6% | 10.6% | 1.9% |
| John O'Connell | 7.7% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Curtis Mallory | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 0.7% |
| Greta Shuster | 6.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 5.2% | 0.1% |
| Penelope Weekes | 10.1% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Jason Dank | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 16.1% | 31.0% | 8.4% |
| Benjamin Ely | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 12.5% | 3.3% |
| Christopher Fletcher | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 17.7% | 20.5% | 4.2% |
| Annette Limoges | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 7.7% | 80.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.