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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.82+1.81vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.62+1.06vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.56+2.67vs Predicted
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4Bentley University-0.39+1.28vs Predicted
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5McGill University-0.61+0.63vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.26-1.14vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95-0.79vs Predicted
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8Olin College of Engineering-1.07-1.47vs Predicted
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9Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.82-0.80vs Predicted
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10Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.41-2.75vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.73-0.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81Fairfield University0.820.3%1st Place
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3.06Salve Regina University0.620.3%1st Place
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5.67Bates College-0.560.1%1st Place
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5.28Bentley University-0.390.1%1st Place
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5.63McGill University-0.610.1%1st Place
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4.86Middlebury College-0.260.1%1st Place
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6.21University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.1%1st Place
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6.53Olin College of Engineering-1.070.1%1st Place
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8.2Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.820.0%1st Place
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7.25Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.410.0%1st Place
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10.5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Vitiello | 27.9% | 23.0% | 19.0% | 14.2% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 25.2% | 22.8% | 16.1% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Greta Shuster | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 5.2% | 0.3% |
| John O'Connell | 7.3% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 0.2% |
| Curtis Mallory | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 0.7% |
| Penelope Weekes | 9.2% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Kai Latham | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 1.5% |
| Benjamin Ely | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 1.4% |
| Jason Dank | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 16.5% | 32.4% | 10.8% |
| Christopher Fletcher | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 17.7% | 20.0% | 3.8% |
| Annette Limoges | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 81.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.