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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.62+2.14vs Predicted
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2Bentley University-0.39+3.12vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.82-0.17vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.56+1.68vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95+1.37vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.26-1.15vs Predicted
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7McGill University-0.61-1.57vs Predicted
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8Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.41-0.71vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering-1.07-2.25vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.82-1.93vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.73-0.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.14Salve Regina University0.620.2%1st Place
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5.12Bentley University-0.390.1%1st Place
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2.83Fairfield University0.820.3%1st Place
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5.68Bates College-0.560.1%1st Place
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6.37University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.1%1st Place
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4.85Middlebury College-0.260.1%1st Place
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5.43McGill University-0.610.1%1st Place
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7.29Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.410.0%1st Place
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6.75Olin College of Engineering-1.070.0%1st Place
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8.07Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.820.0%1st Place
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10.47University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 23.1% | 21.9% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John O'Connell | 8.7% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 27.6% | 24.0% | 18.4% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greta Shuster | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 0.6% |
| Kai Latham | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 1.6% |
| Penelope Weekes | 10.6% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Curtis Mallory | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Christopher Fletcher | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 14.9% | 15.9% | 22.0% | 3.3% |
| Benjamin Ely | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 3.7% |
| Jason Dank | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 16.4% | 31.5% | 9.2% |
| Annette Limoges | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 80.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.