← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fairfield University0.82+1.79vs Predicted
-
2Middlebury College-0.26+2.77vs Predicted
-
3McGill University-0.61+2.79vs Predicted
-
4Olin College of Engineering-1.07+2.86vs Predicted
-
5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95+1.37vs Predicted
-
6Bentley University-0.39-0.86vs Predicted
-
7Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.41+0.20vs Predicted
-
8Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.82+0.08vs Predicted
-
9Bates College-0.56-3.46vs Predicted
-
10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.73+0.46vs Predicted
-
11Salve Regina University0.62-7.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.79Fairfield University0.820.3%1st Place
-
4.77Middlebury College-0.260.1%1st Place
-
5.79McGill University-0.610.1%1st Place
-
6.86Olin College of Engineering-1.070.0%1st Place
-
6.37University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.0%1st Place
-
5.14Bentley University-0.390.1%1st Place
-
7.2Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.410.0%1st Place
-
8.08Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.820.0%1st Place
-
5.54Bates College-0.560.1%1st Place
-
10.46University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.730.0%1st Place
-
3.01Salve Regina University0.620.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Vitiello | 28.1% | 22.3% | 18.9% | 14.7% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Penelope Weekes | 9.9% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Curtis Mallory | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 0.8% |
| Benjamin Ely | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 3.2% |
| Kai Latham | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 1.5% |
| John O'Connell | 7.9% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Fletcher | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 17.6% | 19.5% | 3.4% |
| Jason Dank | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 30.1% | 10.2% |
| Greta Shuster | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 0.7% |
| Annette Limoges | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 9.4% | 79.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 25.9% | 22.8% | 17.8% | 12.9% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.