← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fairfield University0.82+1.81vs Predicted
-
2Salve Regina University0.62+1.06vs Predicted
-
3Olin College of Engineering-1.07+3.80vs Predicted
-
4Bentley University-0.39+1.31vs Predicted
-
5Middlebury College-0.26-0.17vs Predicted
-
6Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.41+1.40vs Predicted
-
7Bates College-0.56-1.69vs Predicted
-
8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95-1.78vs Predicted
-
9McGill University-0.61-3.27vs Predicted
-
10Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.82-1.93vs Predicted
-
11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.73-0.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.81Fairfield University0.820.3%1st Place
-
3.06Salve Regina University0.620.3%1st Place
-
6.8Olin College of Engineering-1.070.0%1st Place
-
5.31Bentley University-0.390.1%1st Place
-
4.83Middlebury College-0.260.1%1st Place
-
7.4Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.410.0%1st Place
-
5.31Bates College-0.560.1%1st Place
-
6.22University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.1%1st Place
-
5.73McGill University-0.610.1%1st Place
-
8.07Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.820.0%1st Place
-
10.47University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Vitiello | 27.9% | 23.2% | 17.9% | 14.1% | 9.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 25.6% | 21.2% | 18.2% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Ely | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 17.1% | 13.7% | 2.5% |
| John O'Connell | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Penelope Weekes | 9.7% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Fletcher | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 17.5% | 20.2% | 5.5% |
| Greta Shuster | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Kai Latham | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 1.3% |
| Curtis Mallory | 5.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 1.3% |
| Jason Dank | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 18.3% | 31.2% | 8.6% |
| Annette Limoges | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 8.6% | 79.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.