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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.62+2.14vs Predicted
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2Bentley University-0.39+3.12vs Predicted
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3McGill University-0.61+2.80vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.82-1.16vs Predicted
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5Olin College of Engineering-1.07+1.60vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.26-1.11vs Predicted
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7Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.41+0.19vs Predicted
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8Bates College-0.56-2.57vs Predicted
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9Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.82-0.78vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95-3.74vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.73-0.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.14Salve Regina University0.620.2%1st Place
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5.12Bentley University-0.390.1%1st Place
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5.8McGill University-0.610.1%1st Place
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2.84Fairfield University0.820.3%1st Place
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6.6Olin College of Engineering-1.070.0%1st Place
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4.89Middlebury College-0.260.1%1st Place
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7.19Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.410.0%1st Place
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5.43Bates College-0.560.1%1st Place
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8.22Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.820.0%1st Place
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6.26University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.0%1st Place
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10.5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 22.6% | 21.1% | 18.4% | 16.0% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| John O'Connell | 9.2% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 16.4% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Curtis Mallory | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 6.0% | 0.5% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 27.6% | 23.5% | 18.2% | 14.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Ely | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 2.1% |
| Penelope Weekes | 9.5% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Fletcher | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 18.4% | 19.0% | 3.3% |
| Greta Shuster | 8.1% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 0.5% |
| Jason Dank | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 16.3% | 34.0% | 10.3% |
| Kai Latham | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 1.4% |
| Annette Limoges | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 7.6% | 81.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.