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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+6.77vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.23+3.63vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90+3.72vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.64+0.28vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.37+0.06vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.67+4.88vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.14-1.24vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.28+0.61vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.56-1.41vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.10-0.47vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University0.60+0.10vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan0.57-0.58vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.20-0.86vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57-3.16vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.26-1.43vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-1.93+0.67vs Predicted
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17Bates College-2.03-0.21vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island1.84-11.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.600.1%1st Place
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5.63Roger Williams University2.230.1%1st Place
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6.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.1%1st Place
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4.28Brown University2.640.2%1st Place
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5.06Harvard University2.370.1%1st Place
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10.88University of Vermont0.670.0%1st Place
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5.76Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
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8.61Boston University1.280.0%1st Place
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7.59University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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9.53Tufts University1.100.0%1st Place
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11.1Jacksonville University0.600.0%1st Place
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11.42University of Michigan0.570.0%1st Place
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12.14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.200.0%1st Place
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10.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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13.57University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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16.67Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
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16.79Bates College-2.030.0%1st Place
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6.65University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Reeser | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 8.4% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Kulas | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Lamm | 18.1% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Strom | 13.8% | 14.5% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marco Welch | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Alex Lech | 11.0% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Balunas | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Efe Guder | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Schmidt | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Darby Smith | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Ben Visco | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Evan Tofolo | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 15.7% | 6.5% | 0.9% |
| Ella Demand | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| James Frady | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 22.3% | 14.4% | 3.2% |
| Aengus Onken | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 8.4% | 33.2% | 45.4% |
| Georgia Green | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 32.2% | 48.9% |
| Owen Grainger | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.