← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.64+3.44vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida1.56+5.89vs Predicted
-
3Boston College2.14+2.88vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island1.84+2.64vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University1.10+4.24vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University2.23-0.45vs Predicted
-
7Boston University1.28+1.69vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-0.52vs Predicted
-
9Jacksonville University0.60+2.06vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University2.37-4.76vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont0.67-0.10vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90-5.16vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.20-0.88vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57-3.12vs Predicted
-
15University of Michigan0.57-3.90vs Predicted
-
16University of New Hampshire-0.26-2.35vs Predicted
-
17Middlebury College-1.93-0.26vs Predicted
-
18Bates College-2.03-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.44Brown University2.640.2%1st Place
-
7.89University of South Florida1.560.0%1st Place
-
5.88Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
-
6.64University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
-
9.24Tufts University1.100.0%1st Place
-
5.55Roger Williams University2.230.1%1st Place
-
8.69Boston University1.280.1%1st Place
-
7.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.600.1%1st Place
-
11.06Jacksonville University0.600.0%1st Place
-
5.24Harvard University2.370.1%1st Place
-
10.9University of Vermont0.670.0%1st Place
-
6.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.1%1st Place
-
12.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.200.0%1st Place
-
10.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
-
11.1University of Michigan0.570.0%1st Place
-
13.65University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
-
16.74Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
-
16.65Bates College-2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lamm | 16.3% | 17.5% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Efe Guder | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lech | 9.6% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Grainger | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Schmidt | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 11.0% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Balunas | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Darby Smith | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Harrison Strom | 13.4% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marco Welch | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| William Kulas | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Evan Tofolo | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 5.7% | 1.3% |
| Ella Demand | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Ben Visco | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| James Frady | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 15.3% | 24.9% | 13.3% | 3.4% |
| Aengus Onken | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 7.7% | 31.9% | 47.6% |
| Georgia Green | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 7.2% | 33.7% | 46.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.