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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90+5.80vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.37+3.23vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.56+4.95vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.41+4.12vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.64-0.65vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57+5.21vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.23-1.49vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.14-2.27vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-1.49vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.10-0.42vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan0.57+0.18vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University0.60-0.64vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.67-2.36vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.84-7.45vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.20-2.73vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-1.93+0.65vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-0.26-3.34vs Predicted
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18Bates College-2.03-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.1%1st Place
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5.23Harvard University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.95University of South Florida1.560.0%1st Place
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8.12Boston University1.410.1%1st Place
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4.35Brown University2.640.2%1st Place
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11.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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5.51Roger Williams University2.230.1%1st Place
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5.73Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
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7.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.600.1%1st Place
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9.58Tufts University1.100.0%1st Place
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11.18University of Michigan0.570.0%1st Place
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11.36Jacksonville University0.600.0%1st Place
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10.64University of Vermont0.670.0%1st Place
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6.55University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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12.27Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.200.0%1st Place
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16.65Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
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13.66University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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16.71Bates College-2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Kulas | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Strom | 11.2% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Efe Guder | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Teo | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Lamm | 19.1% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Demand | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Tristan McDonald | 11.2% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lech | 10.7% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grant Schmidt | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Visco | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Darby Smith | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Marco Welch | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Owen Grainger | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Tofolo | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 17.4% | 5.8% | 0.7% |
| Aengus Onken | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 8.0% | 34.9% | 43.7% |
| James Frady | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 15.7% | 23.2% | 14.7% | 3.9% |
| Georgia Green | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 31.3% | 49.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.