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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.14+4.93vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.64+2.36vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.84+3.86vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.60+6.84vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.40+3.09vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.56+1.60vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.41+1.13vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.37-3.07vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.23-3.66vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.67+0.91vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57+0.15vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.10-2.53vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-5.63vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan0.57-3.21vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.26-1.48vs Predicted
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16Bates College-2.03+0.79vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.20-4.66vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-1.93-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.93Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
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4.36Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
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6.86University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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10.84Jacksonville University0.600.0%1st Place
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8.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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7.6University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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8.13Boston University1.410.1%1st Place
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4.93Harvard University2.370.1%1st Place
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5.34Roger Williams University2.230.1%1st Place
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10.91University of Vermont0.670.0%1st Place
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11.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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9.47Tufts University1.100.0%1st Place
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7.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.600.1%1st Place
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10.79University of Michigan0.570.0%1st Place
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13.52University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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16.79Bates College-2.030.0%1st Place
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12.34Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.200.0%1st Place
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16.57Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Lech | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Lamm | 14.8% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Grainger | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Darby Smith | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Conrad Straden | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Efe Guder | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Teo | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Strom | 14.4% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 11.8% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marco Welch | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Ella Demand | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Grant Schmidt | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Visco | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| James Frady | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 24.8% | 13.0% | 3.3% |
| Georgia Green | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 7.2% | 30.2% | 50.5% |
| Evan Tofolo | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 18.0% | 6.9% | 1.6% |
| Aengus Onken | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 7.3% | 36.3% | 43.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.