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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.37+4.17vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.41+6.32vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.23+2.52vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.64+0.25vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.10+4.16vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.56+1.62vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+0.48vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.20+4.12vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan0.57+2.11vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University0.60+1.14vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-0.26+2.53vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57-0.70vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.84-6.42vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.40-6.12vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-1.93+1.70vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.67-5.21vs Predicted
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17Bates College-2.03-0.18vs Predicted
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18Boston College2.14-12.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.17Harvard University2.370.1%1st Place
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8.32Boston University1.410.0%1st Place
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5.52Roger Williams University2.230.1%1st Place
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4.25Brown University2.640.2%1st Place
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9.16Tufts University1.100.0%1st Place
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7.62University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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7.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.600.1%1st Place
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12.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.200.0%1st Place
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11.11University of Michigan0.570.0%1st Place
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11.14Jacksonville University0.600.0%1st Place
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13.53University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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11.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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6.58University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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7.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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16.7Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
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10.79University of Vermont0.670.0%1st Place
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16.82Bates College-2.030.0%1st Place
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5.53Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Strom | 12.7% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Teo | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 10.7% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Lamm | 18.1% | 17.6% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Schmidt | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Efe Guder | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Evan Tofolo | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 16.2% | 5.8% | 1.3% |
| Ben Visco | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Darby Smith | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| James Frady | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 23.5% | 14.4% | 3.4% |
| Ella Demand | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 3.6% | 0.2% |
| Owen Grainger | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Conrad Straden | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Aengus Onken | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 7.6% | 35.8% | 43.6% |
| Marco Welch | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Georgia Green | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 7.5% | 29.9% | 50.6% |
| Alex Lech | 11.1% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.