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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.68+0.54vs Predicted
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2Princeton University1.50+0.51vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.70+0.33vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University0.06-0.99vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology0.48-2.33vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-3.61-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.54University of Pennsylvania2.680.6%1st Place
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2.51Princeton University1.500.2%1st Place
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3.33Drexel University0.700.1%1st Place
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4.01Rutgers University0.060.0%1st Place
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3.67Stevens Institute of Technology0.480.1%1st Place
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5.95Penn State University-3.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Russom | 62.0% | 25.6% | 9.0% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gene Merewether | 20.3% | 34.4% | 25.5% | 13.9% | 5.8% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 9.0% | 16.6% | 26.1% | 29.6% | 18.4% | 0.3% |
| Dylan Richardson | 3.4% | 9.6% | 17.1% | 24.1% | 44.5% | 1.3% |
| Jeffrey Samalot | 5.3% | 13.4% | 21.9% | 28.9% | 29.2% | 1.3% |
| Jacqueline Ligorski | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 97.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.