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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.80+4.86vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.07+7.66vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.42-0.14vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.69+2.57vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.12+7.12vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.18+5.56vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.73-0.18vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.48+2.39vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.01+0.15vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University-0.84+2.64vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.26-3.53vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.18-3.58vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.31-5.76vs Predicted
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14Rollins College0.58-3.47vs Predicted
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15Clemson University0.12-4.31vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.24-3.88vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy-0.21-3.95vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University-0.54-4.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.86Georgetown University1.8010.3%1st Place
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9.66George Washington University1.073.4%1st Place
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2.86Yale University2.4232.0%1st Place
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6.57Brown University1.697.8%1st Place
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12.12University of Rhode Island0.121.8%1st Place
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11.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.181.7%1st Place
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6.82Tulane University1.737.2%1st Place
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10.39Jacksonville University0.482.6%1st Place
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9.15Tufts University1.014.3%1st Place
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12.64Christopher Newport University-0.841.8%1st Place
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7.47College of Charleston1.266.2%1st Place
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8.42Northeastern University1.184.7%1st Place
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7.24Roger Williams University1.316.7%1st Place
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10.53Rollins College0.582.9%1st Place
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10.69Clemson University0.122.5%1st Place
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12.12University of Vermont0.241.8%1st Place
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13.05U. S. Naval Academy-0.211.4%1st Place
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13.84Northwestern University-0.541.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Doble | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Carmen Cowles | 32.0% | 21.8% | 16.0% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.8% |
| Meara Conley | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% |
| Ava Anderson | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Laura Smith | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 14.2% |
| Emily Alfortish | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Shay Bridge | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 3.5% |
| Ashton Loring | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.6% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.8% |
| Kate Zurinskas | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 18.2% |
| Anna Kovacs | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 15.8% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.