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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University-0.84+3.16vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University-0.27+1.01vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon-1.36+1.98vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University-1.25+0.65vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.54-1.62vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-1.48-0.78vs Predicted
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7Gonzaga University-2.60+0.26vs Predicted
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8Gonzaga University-2.69-0.64vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-1.39-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16Western Washington University-0.8414.1%1st Place
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3.01Oregon State University-0.2725.4%1st Place
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4.98University of Oregon-1.368.6%1st Place
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4.65Oregon State University-1.2510.5%1st Place
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3.38Western Washington University-0.5420.8%1st Place
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5.22University of Oregon-1.488.2%1st Place
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7.26Gonzaga University-2.602.2%1st Place
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7.36Gonzaga University-2.691.8%1st Place
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4.98University of Oregon-1.398.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Beeson | 14.1% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 1.4% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 25.4% | 22.6% | 16.9% | 13.7% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Molly McLeod | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 11.2% | 4.1% |
| Ethan Wickman | 10.5% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 9.0% | 2.9% |
| Allison Sasaki | 20.8% | 18.8% | 18.4% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Kate Ryan | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 12.4% | 6.6% |
| Gabi Feleciano | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 11.8% | 24.3% | 38.0% |
| Kevin McGann | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 10.7% | 23.4% | 41.5% |
| Dylan Zink | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 10.7% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.