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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.38+4.92vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.40+3.94vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.30+3.29vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.35+5.50vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.80-0.35vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.80-1.10vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.93+0.50vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.05-1.03vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.89-1.14vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-1.06+3.54vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont-0.28+0.58vs Predicted
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13Harvard University0.27-3.30vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.72-1.29vs Predicted
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15Bates College-1.99+0.40vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.15-9.19vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan-1.61-2.21vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-9.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.92University of Rhode Island1.380.1%1st Place
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5.94Tufts University1.400.1%1st Place
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6.29Boston College1.300.1%1st Place
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9.5Boston University0.350.0%1st Place
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4.65Roger Williams University1.800.2%1st Place
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4.9Brown University1.800.1%1st Place
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7.5Jacksonville University0.930.1%1st Place
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6.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.050.1%1st Place
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7.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.890.1%1st Place
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13.54University of New Hampshire-1.060.0%1st Place
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11.58University of Vermont-0.280.0%1st Place
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9.7Harvard University0.270.0%1st Place
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12.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.720.0%1st Place
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15.4Bates College-1.990.0%1st Place
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6.81University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
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14.79University of Michigan-1.610.0%1st Place
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8.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Chwalk | 11.1% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brayden Benesch | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rogelio Casellas | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Buck Rathbun | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Connor McHugh | 15.1% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Gish | 13.8% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Thran | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Joey Richardson | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Cataldo | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 18.4% | 20.3% | 11.9% |
| Ocean Smith | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 9.0% | 2.2% |
| William Bourell | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Kevin McNeill | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 16.3% | 18.0% | 14.7% | 7.2% |
| Colin Kenny | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 11.9% | 19.0% | 49.1% |
| Grace Jones | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Calistoga Frerker | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 28.8% | 28.4% |
| Meara Conley | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.