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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.38+4.91vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.80+2.65vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.05+4.10vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.80+0.89vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.93+2.36vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.40+0.13vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.89+0.69vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.15-1.39vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.35+0.61vs Predicted
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10Boston College1.30-3.79vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont-0.39+0.77vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-3.21vs Predicted
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13Harvard University0.27-3.15vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-1.06-1.37vs Predicted
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16Bates College-1.99-0.70vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.72-4.25vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan-1.61-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.91University of Rhode Island1.380.1%1st Place
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4.65Brown University1.800.2%1st Place
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7.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.050.1%1st Place
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4.89Roger Williams University1.800.2%1st Place
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7.36Jacksonville University0.930.1%1st Place
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6.13Tufts University1.400.1%1st Place
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7.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.890.1%1st Place
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6.61University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
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9.61Boston University0.350.0%1st Place
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6.21Boston College1.300.1%1st Place
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11.77University of Vermont-0.390.0%1st Place
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8.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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9.85Harvard University0.270.0%1st Place
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13.63University of New Hampshire-1.060.0%1st Place
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15.3Bates College-1.990.0%1st Place
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12.75Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.720.0%1st Place
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14.79University of Michigan-1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Chwalk | 10.9% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Gish | 15.4% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Richardson | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor McHugh | 15.2% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Thran | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Brayden Benesch | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Grace Jones | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Buck Rathbun | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Rogelio Casellas | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Gear | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 3.2% |
| Meara Conley | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| William Bourell | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Joseph Cataldo | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 21.2% | 21.4% | 12.5% |
| Colin Kenny | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 11.7% | 20.3% | 46.6% |
| Kevin McNeill | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 16.5% | 14.5% | 6.7% |
| Calistoga Frerker | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 14.9% | 26.4% | 29.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.