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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.14+5.64vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.30+4.23vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.40+2.97vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+4.93vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.89+2.49vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.80-1.04vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.38-0.97vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.93-0.64vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.15-2.04vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.80-5.24vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-1.06+2.61vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.72+0.73vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.35-3.39vs Predicted
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14Harvard University0.27-4.14vs Predicted
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16Bates College-1.99-0.68vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan-1.61-2.24vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont-0.39-6.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.140.1%1st Place
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6.23Boston College1.300.1%1st Place
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5.97Tufts University1.400.1%1st Place
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8.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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7.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.890.1%1st Place
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4.96Brown University1.800.1%1st Place
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6.03University of Rhode Island1.380.1%1st Place
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7.36Jacksonville University0.930.1%1st Place
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6.96University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
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4.76Roger Williams University1.800.1%1st Place
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13.61University of New Hampshire-1.060.0%1st Place
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12.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.720.0%1st Place
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9.61Boston University0.350.0%1st Place
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9.86Harvard University0.270.0%1st Place
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15.32Bates College-1.990.0%1st Place
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14.76University of Michigan-1.610.0%1st Place
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11.78University of Vermont-0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Vinogradov | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rogelio Casellas | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brayden Benesch | 10.5% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meara Conley | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charles Gish | 14.1% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Thran | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Jones | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor McHugh | 14.7% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Cataldo | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 17.5% | 22.8% | 14.2% |
| Kevin McNeill | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 16.2% | 18.9% | 14.6% | 6.7% |
| Buck Rathbun | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| William Bourell | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Colin Kenny | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 20.0% | 46.8% |
| Calistoga Frerker | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 17.2% | 26.0% | 28.0% |
| William Gear | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 12.3% | 16.9% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.