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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.58+0.60vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.40+2.60vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.67+0.99vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.90-0.50vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.75+1.12vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California0.64-2.06vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.41-1.22vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.35-0.95vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-2.69-0.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.6Stanford University2.580.6%1st Place
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4.6University of California at Berkeley0.400.0%1st Place
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3.99University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.1%1st Place
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3.5University of Hawaii0.900.1%1st Place
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6.12Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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3.94University of Southern California0.640.1%1st Place
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5.78University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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7.05Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.350.0%1st Place
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8.43University of California at Los Angeles-2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 60.8% | 24.7% | 9.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 4.0% | 10.8% | 14.9% | 18.2% | 18.7% | 16.0% | 12.2% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 8.2% | 16.7% | 17.9% | 17.2% | 17.4% | 12.9% | 7.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Martha Schuessler | 11.3% | 21.4% | 21.7% | 17.3% | 14.3% | 9.2% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 2.4% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 15.7% | 23.5% | 21.9% | 6.5% |
| Morgana Manti | 8.3% | 15.4% | 18.5% | 19.8% | 17.3% | 12.8% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Sammy Farkas | 2.9% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 13.7% | 19.6% | 24.4% | 14.9% | 3.5% |
| Micaela Jorcino | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 10.8% | 16.4% | 41.7% | 14.7% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 6.1% | 12.4% | 74.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.