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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.58+0.59vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.40+2.58vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.67+0.96vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.90-0.47vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.41+0.57vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-0.75+0.22vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.35+0.09vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California0.64-3.98vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-2.69-0.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.59Stanford University2.580.6%1st Place
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4.58University of California at Berkeley0.400.0%1st Place
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3.96University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.1%1st Place
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3.53University of Hawaii0.900.1%1st Place
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5.57University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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6.22Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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7.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.350.0%1st Place
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4.02University of Southern California0.640.1%1st Place
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8.43University of California at Los Angeles-2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 61.1% | 24.6% | 9.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 4.3% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 19.9% | 18.9% | 15.9% | 11.8% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 8.3% | 16.4% | 17.7% | 17.5% | 18.5% | 14.0% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Martha Schuessler | 11.3% | 20.4% | 21.6% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sammy Farkas | 2.9% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 16.6% | 21.7% | 14.0% | 3.8% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 18.0% | 26.5% | 22.8% | 5.1% |
| Micaela Jorcino | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 19.8% | 39.9% | 15.4% |
| Morgana Manti | 8.4% | 16.2% | 18.3% | 16.3% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 13.7% | 74.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.