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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.58+0.61vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.90+1.76vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California0.64+0.99vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.40+0.32vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.67-1.15vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.41-0.31vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.35+0.12vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-0.75-1.78vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-2.69-0.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.61Stanford University2.580.6%1st Place
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3.76University of Hawaii0.900.1%1st Place
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3.99University of Southern California0.640.1%1st Place
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4.32University of California at Berkeley0.400.1%1st Place
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3.85University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.1%1st Place
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5.69University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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7.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.350.0%1st Place
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6.22Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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8.42University of California at Los Angeles-2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 61.3% | 24.1% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martha Schuessler | 7.2% | 18.7% | 21.6% | 21.1% | 14.6% | 10.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Morgana Manti | 8.0% | 15.7% | 17.7% | 18.3% | 18.1% | 14.8% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Katherine Olsen | 6.9% | 12.4% | 15.7% | 18.0% | 19.3% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 9.6% | 18.0% | 20.4% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Sammy Farkas | 2.9% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 18.2% | 25.7% | 14.7% | 1.8% |
| Micaela Jorcino | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 10.3% | 17.9% | 40.8% | 15.9% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 16.3% | 25.1% | 23.0% | 6.4% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 12.4% | 74.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.