Race 4A

pccsc-women-fall

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Martha Schuessler 11.2% 18.6% 20.9% 19.7% 14.9% 9.5% 3.9% 1.2% 0.1%
Katherine Olsen 4.6% 9.2% 16.8% 18.4% 19.5% 16.5% 9.6% 4.8% 0.6%
Morgana Manti 8.5% 14.5% 17.8% 19.9% 16.7% 14.5% 5.9% 1.9% 0.3%
Sophie Fisher 61.8% 24.7% 9.5% 2.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Evelyn Engebretson 8.1% 19.7% 18.7% 17.5% 14.7% 12.4% 6.0% 2.6% 0.3%
Sammy Farkas 2.5% 5.4% 7.8% 10.0% 14.5% 19.0% 23.4% 14.8% 2.6%
Sadie Hoberman 2.0% 3.8% 4.9% 6.4% 11.1% 17.5% 26.3% 22.6% 5.4%
Micaela Jorcino 1.1% 2.9% 2.8% 3.7% 5.8% 8.7% 19.5% 39.3% 16.2%
Alexandra Toaxen 0.2% 1.2% 0.8% 1.6% 1.7% 1.8% 5.4% 12.8% 74.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.