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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.58+0.61vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.90+1.75vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California0.64+1.00vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.40+0.32vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.67-1.15vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.35+1.07vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.41-1.25vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-0.75-1.76vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-2.69-0.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.61Stanford University2.580.6%1st Place
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3.75University of Hawaii0.900.1%1st Place
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4.0University of Southern California0.640.1%1st Place
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4.32University of California at Berkeley0.400.1%1st Place
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3.85University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.1%1st Place
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7.07Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.350.0%1st Place
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5.75University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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6.24Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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8.41University of California at Los Angeles-2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 61.4% | 23.9% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martha Schuessler | 7.3% | 18.1% | 22.6% | 20.7% | 15.2% | 9.7% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 8.2% | 15.6% | 17.4% | 19.3% | 16.2% | 15.3% | 6.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Katherine Olsen | 6.8% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 18.0% | 18.8% | 14.9% | 9.4% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 9.7% | 17.8% | 19.9% | 15.1% | 17.0% | 11.8% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Micaela Jorcino | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 10.2% | 18.7% | 39.2% | 15.8% |
| Sammy Farkas | 2.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 20.2% | 24.0% | 14.4% | 3.5% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 24.6% | 24.3% | 6.4% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 6.5% | 12.9% | 73.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.