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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii0.90+2.59vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.40+2.58vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.58-1.39vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara0.67-0.13vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.41+0.65vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.35+1.06vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California0.64-3.01vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-0.75-1.77vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-2.69-0.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59University of Hawaii0.900.1%1st Place
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4.58University of California at Berkeley0.400.1%1st Place
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1.61Stanford University2.580.6%1st Place
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3.87University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.1%1st Place
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5.65University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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7.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.350.0%1st Place
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3.99University of Southern California0.640.1%1st Place
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6.23Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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8.41University of California at Los Angeles-2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martha Schuessler | 10.2% | 21.3% | 20.0% | 17.6% | 15.8% | 9.6% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Olsen | 5.9% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 20.0% | 18.3% | 15.6% | 11.3% | 5.2% | 0.8% |
| Sophie Fisher | 59.5% | 26.4% | 9.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 9.9% | 15.1% | 19.9% | 17.8% | 17.3% | 12.5% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Sammy Farkas | 2.5% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 18.0% | 22.0% | 14.2% | 4.3% |
| Micaela Jorcino | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 10.2% | 20.5% | 38.1% | 15.5% |
| Morgana Manti | 7.8% | 15.0% | 18.9% | 19.1% | 16.6% | 14.6% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 2.5% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 16.3% | 25.2% | 24.4% | 5.6% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 13.3% | 73.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.