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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.40+3.41vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.58-0.31vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.67+0.97vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.64-0.07vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii0.90-1.47vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.41-0.30vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.35+0.13vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-2.69+0.41vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-0.75-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.41University of California at Berkeley0.400.1%1st Place
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1.69Stanford University2.580.6%1st Place
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3.97University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.1%1st Place
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3.93University of Southern California0.640.1%1st Place
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3.53University of Hawaii0.900.1%1st Place
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5.7University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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7.13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.350.0%1st Place
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8.41University of California at Los Angeles-2.690.0%1st Place
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6.21Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Olsen | 7.1% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 16.9% | 19.8% | 15.6% | 10.0% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Sophie Fisher | 56.3% | 26.6% | 10.5% | 5.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 8.7% | 14.6% | 18.3% | 19.4% | 17.8% | 13.2% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Morgana Manti | 8.5% | 16.9% | 16.9% | 19.9% | 16.8% | 12.4% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Martha Schuessler | 11.9% | 20.5% | 21.7% | 17.6% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Sammy Farkas | 3.3% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 20.2% | 22.8% | 15.7% | 2.5% |
| Micaela Jorcino | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 20.5% | 39.5% | 16.4% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 13.0% | 73.6% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 17.7% | 25.0% | 22.4% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.