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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.58+0.60vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.40+2.61vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.90+0.65vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.64-0.11vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.41+0.62vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara0.67-2.10vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.35+0.10vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-0.75-1.80vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-2.69-0.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.6Stanford University2.580.6%1st Place
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4.61University of California at Berkeley0.400.0%1st Place
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3.65University of Hawaii0.900.1%1st Place
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3.89University of Southern California0.640.1%1st Place
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5.62University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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3.9University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.1%1st Place
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7.1Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.350.0%1st Place
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6.2Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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8.42University of California at Los Angeles-2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 60.9% | 25.8% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 4.3% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 17.8% | 19.4% | 15.9% | 12.7% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Martha Schuessler | 9.6% | 19.5% | 21.3% | 18.0% | 16.0% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Morgana Manti | 9.6% | 16.3% | 17.7% | 18.5% | 17.1% | 12.7% | 6.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Sammy Farkas | 3.0% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 18.3% | 22.8% | 14.1% | 3.7% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 8.7% | 15.2% | 20.0% | 19.2% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Micaela Jorcino | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 10.7% | 17.7% | 40.7% | 15.6% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 2.4% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 25.2% | 23.7% | 5.8% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 13.5% | 73.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.