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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+0.24vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California-1.19+4.65vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.90+0.38vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.400.00vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.67-1.41vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.41-0.69vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.35-0.24vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-2.69+0.26vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-0.75-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.24Stanford University3.390.8%1st Place
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6.65University of Southern California-1.190.0%1st Place
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3.38University of Hawaii0.900.1%1st Place
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4.0University of California at Berkeley0.400.0%1st Place
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3.59University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.1%1st Place
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5.31University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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6.76Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.350.0%1st Place
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8.26University of California at Los Angeles-2.690.0%1st Place
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5.8Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 80.7% | 15.4% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Bergan | 0.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 15.5% | 21.8% | 28.5% | 11.2% |
| Martha Schuessler | 5.9% | 25.5% | 26.7% | 19.1% | 15.0% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Olsen | 3.8% | 16.4% | 21.0% | 22.8% | 16.4% | 12.3% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 5.2% | 23.7% | 25.1% | 18.7% | 13.9% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Sammy Farkas | 1.4% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 18.2% | 22.0% | 15.6% | 9.8% | 2.1% |
| Micaela Jorcino | 0.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 24.6% | 29.1% | 13.0% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 13.9% | 68.2% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 16.3% | 20.1% | 19.6% | 15.9% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.