Race 4 - donaghy-bowl | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%

Within 2 Positions

1.3

Avg Position Diff

3

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

2

Thomas Presti & Eleanor Leonard

University of Connecticut

1.72

-0.64

vs Predicted
3

Matthew Connolly & Brennan Ashton

Worcester Polytechnic Institute

0.93

-1.14

vs Predicted
5

Marta Chlus & Kelley Connolly

University of Connecticut

-0.87

-2.23

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

1.36

Thomas Presti & Eleanor Leonard

University of Connecticut

1.72

0.7%

1st Place
1.86

Matthew Connolly & Brennan Ashton

Worcester Polytechnic Institute

0.93

0.3%

1st Place
2.77

Marta Chlus & Kelley Connolly

University of Connecticut

-0.87

0.0%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3
Thomas Presti	66.5%	30.5%	3.0%
Matthew Connolly	28.7%	56.4%	14.9%
Marta Chlus	4.8%	13.1%	82.1%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.