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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Allison Sasaki 21.3% 19.4% 17.0% 15.4% 11.2% 8.5% 4.8% 2.1% 0.4%
Jack Beeson 13.6% 13.7% 14.2% 14.8% 16.0% 12.3% 9.7% 4.5% 1.2%
Molly McLeod 8.2% 8.9% 10.7% 11.9% 13.2% 14.9% 14.8% 12.7% 4.7%
Cassius Tossavainen 24.5% 21.7% 18.3% 14.7% 9.6% 6.4% 3.5% 1.2% 0.2%
Dylan Zink 9.2% 9.8% 11.1% 10.5% 12.9% 14.6% 15.4% 12.2% 4.3%
Kate Ryan 7.8% 9.8% 9.3% 11.3% 13.8% 13.7% 15.6% 13.1% 5.8%
Gabi Feleciano 2.5% 3.5% 3.8% 4.2% 5.5% 8.6% 11.1% 23.5% 37.4%
Ethan Wickman 10.4% 10.4% 12.1% 13.6% 13.5% 14.5% 13.4% 8.9% 3.1%
Kevin McGann 2.5% 2.8% 3.6% 3.5% 4.6% 6.6% 11.8% 21.8% 43.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.