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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+0.22vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara0.67+1.79vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.90+0.38vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California-1.19+2.45vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.41+0.22vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.40-1.95vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-0.75-1.12vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.35-1.28vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-2.69-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.22Stanford University3.390.8%1st Place
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3.79University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.0%1st Place
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3.38University of Hawaii0.900.1%1st Place
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6.45University of Southern California-1.190.0%1st Place
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5.22University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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4.05University of California at Berkeley0.400.0%1st Place
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5.88Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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6.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.350.0%1st Place
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8.3University of California at Los Angeles-2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 81.7% | 15.2% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 3.9% | 19.1% | 25.6% | 21.0% | 14.6% | 9.5% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Martha Schuessler | 5.9% | 27.7% | 24.4% | 19.7% | 12.4% | 7.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ava Bergan | 0.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 22.1% | 25.9% | 9.3% |
| Sammy Farkas | 1.9% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 18.4% | 16.1% | 10.6% | 2.3% |
| Katherine Olsen | 3.6% | 16.5% | 20.3% | 20.6% | 18.9% | 12.5% | 5.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 0.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 20.1% | 22.0% | 16.5% | 4.2% |
| Micaela Jorcino | 1.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 21.6% | 29.5% | 13.8% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 13.8% | 70.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.