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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+0.24vs Predicted
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2Arizona State University-0.75+3.98vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.90+0.39vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara0.67-0.40vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.40-1.02vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.35+0.73vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California-1.19-0.49vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.41-2.69vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-2.69-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.24Stanford University3.390.8%1st Place
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5.98Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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3.39University of Hawaii0.900.1%1st Place
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3.6University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.1%1st Place
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3.98University of California at Berkeley0.400.0%1st Place
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6.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.350.0%1st Place
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6.51University of Southern California-1.190.0%1st Place
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5.31University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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8.26University of California at Los Angeles-2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 80.2% | 15.9% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 0.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 20.7% | 20.4% | 17.0% | 5.7% |
| Martha Schuessler | 5.8% | 26.1% | 24.7% | 20.3% | 15.9% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 5.4% | 21.3% | 25.4% | 20.8% | 14.6% | 8.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Olsen | 4.1% | 18.2% | 21.9% | 20.3% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Micaela Jorcino | 0.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 14.9% | 20.4% | 30.4% | 12.7% |
| Ava Bergan | 0.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 15.6% | 25.2% | 25.0% | 9.5% |
| Sammy Farkas | 2.0% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 18.6% | 19.3% | 17.3% | 10.2% | 2.3% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 13.2% | 69.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.