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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+0.22vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara0.67+1.81vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.90+0.37vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.40-0.03vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.41+0.22vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-0.75-0.17vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California-1.19-0.46vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.35-1.26vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-2.69-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.22Stanford University3.390.8%1st Place
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3.81University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.0%1st Place
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3.37University of Hawaii0.900.1%1st Place
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3.97University of California at Berkeley0.400.0%1st Place
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5.22University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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5.83Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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6.54University of Southern California-1.190.0%1st Place
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6.74Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.350.0%1st Place
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8.29University of California at Los Angeles-2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 81.9% | 14.4% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 3.7% | 18.8% | 25.3% | 20.9% | 16.1% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Martha Schuessler | 5.9% | 28.5% | 22.8% | 19.6% | 14.7% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Olsen | 3.8% | 18.6% | 20.0% | 20.6% | 18.4% | 11.2% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Sammy Farkas | 1.8% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 19.8% | 15.3% | 10.4% | 2.5% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.0% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 14.5% | 19.6% | 22.3% | 16.3% | 3.5% |
| Ava Bergan | 0.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 17.1% | 23.2% | 27.0% | 9.4% |
| Micaela Jorcino | 1.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 20.4% | 29.5% | 13.9% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 13.3% | 69.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.