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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+0.22vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.40+2.18vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.90+0.36vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California-1.19+2.43vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.67-1.41vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-0.75-0.14vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.41-1.66vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.35-1.27vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-2.69-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.22Stanford University3.390.8%1st Place
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4.18University of California at Berkeley0.400.0%1st Place
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3.36University of Hawaii0.900.1%1st Place
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6.43University of Southern California-1.190.0%1st Place
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3.59University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.0%1st Place
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5.86Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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5.34University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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6.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.350.0%1st Place
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8.28University of California at Los Angeles-2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 81.6% | 14.9% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 3.0% | 12.6% | 22.0% | 23.0% | 16.9% | 12.7% | 7.2% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Martha Schuessler | 6.0% | 28.2% | 23.6% | 20.5% | 12.5% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ava Bergan | 0.8% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 21.3% | 24.8% | 10.1% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 4.9% | 25.4% | 23.7% | 17.7% | 15.1% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.0% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 21.4% | 19.7% | 17.3% | 4.2% |
| Sammy Farkas | 1.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 15.2% | 17.6% | 20.3% | 17.0% | 10.6% | 1.9% |
| Micaela Jorcino | 1.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 21.6% | 29.5% | 14.0% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 14.1% | 69.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.