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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+0.23vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara0.67+1.83vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.40+1.06vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.90-0.72vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.41+0.21vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-0.75-0.17vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California-1.19-0.46vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.35-1.27vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-2.69-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.23Stanford University3.390.8%1st Place
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3.83University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.0%1st Place
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4.06University of California at Berkeley0.400.0%1st Place
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3.28University of Hawaii0.900.1%1st Place
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5.21University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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5.83Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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6.54University of Southern California-1.190.0%1st Place
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6.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.350.0%1st Place
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8.29University of California at Los Angeles-2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 81.2% | 15.2% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 3.7% | 18.1% | 25.3% | 21.6% | 15.0% | 10.3% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Olsen | 3.8% | 17.8% | 17.9% | 19.9% | 18.7% | 15.1% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Martha Schuessler | 6.6% | 29.3% | 25.1% | 18.5% | 12.8% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sammy Farkas | 1.8% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 17.0% | 15.4% | 18.2% | 15.7% | 10.3% | 2.5% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 15.6% | 18.3% | 23.0% | 16.0% | 3.7% |
| Ava Bergan | 0.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 16.6% | 22.4% | 27.6% | 9.3% |
| Micaela Jorcino | 1.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 21.1% | 29.2% | 14.0% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 13.4% | 70.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.