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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+0.24vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California-1.19+4.68vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.40+1.10vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.90-0.73vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.75+0.74vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara0.67-2.37vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.41-1.65vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.35-1.30vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-2.69-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.24Stanford University3.390.8%1st Place
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6.68University of Southern California-1.190.0%1st Place
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4.1University of California at Berkeley0.400.0%1st Place
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3.27University of Hawaii0.900.1%1st Place
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5.74Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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3.63University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.0%1st Place
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5.35University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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6.7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.350.0%1st Place
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8.29University of California at Los Angeles-2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 80.1% | 16.3% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Bergan | 0.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 25.1% | 27.4% | 10.8% |
| Katherine Olsen | 3.7% | 15.7% | 19.4% | 22.3% | 16.3% | 14.6% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Martha Schuessler | 6.5% | 28.2% | 27.3% | 17.7% | 13.0% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.3% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 17.7% | 20.0% | 15.5% | 4.9% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 4.9% | 22.1% | 23.5% | 20.8% | 16.8% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sammy Farkas | 1.6% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 19.0% | 21.3% | 17.5% | 9.2% | 2.4% |
| Micaela Jorcino | 1.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 14.0% | 20.0% | 31.2% | 12.4% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 13.8% | 69.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.