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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.81+0.42vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California-1.19+4.68vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.40+1.07vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara0.67-0.50vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.75+0.71vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii0.90-2.72vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.41-1.66vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.35-1.31vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-2.69-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.42Stanford University2.810.7%1st Place
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6.68University of Southern California-1.190.0%1st Place
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4.07University of California at Berkeley0.400.1%1st Place
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3.5University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.1%1st Place
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5.71Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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3.28University of Hawaii0.900.1%1st Place
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5.34University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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6.69Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.350.0%1st Place
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8.29University of California at Los Angeles-2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Young | 68.8% | 23.2% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Bergan | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 25.6% | 27.5% | 10.7% |
| Katherine Olsen | 5.4% | 14.2% | 20.0% | 21.0% | 17.0% | 14.7% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 8.5% | 21.8% | 23.3% | 19.6% | 15.0% | 8.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 2.4% | 4.1% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 17.1% | 20.3% | 15.4% | 4.9% |
| Martha Schuessler | 9.6% | 25.1% | 24.1% | 20.3% | 13.4% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sammy Farkas | 2.6% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 18.9% | 21.8% | 17.5% | 9.2% | 2.4% |
| Micaela Jorcino | 1.4% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 14.0% | 20.1% | 31.2% | 12.4% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 13.9% | 69.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.