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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.17+3.66vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.10+0.61vs Predicted
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3Rollins College0.37+7.63vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.42+6.10vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.86+0.30vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.31+1.06vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology0.78+1.89vs Predicted
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8University of Central Florida-0.52+5.32vs Predicted
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9Wake Forest University0.10+2.35vs Predicted
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10Duke University-0.18+2.57vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology-0.40+2.19vs Predicted
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12Clemson University0.94-3.45vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-0.41-0.14vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.64-8.21vs Predicted
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15The Citadel0.20-4.08vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.37-9.11vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina0.00-5.21vs Predicted
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18Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.94-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.66Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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2.61College of Charleston3.100.3%1st Place
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10.63Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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10.1Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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5.3University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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7.06North Carolina State University1.310.1%1st Place
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8.89Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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13.32University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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11.35Wake Forest University0.100.0%1st Place
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12.57Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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13.19Georgia Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
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8.55Clemson University0.940.0%1st Place
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12.86Embry-Riddle University-0.410.0%1st Place
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5.79Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
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10.92The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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6.89University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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11.79University of North Carolina0.000.0%1st Place
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14.53Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 12.9% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 31.5% | 26.6% | 16.9% | 12.4% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 1.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% |
| Steven Hardee | 11.1% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 16.5% |
| Johnny Perkins | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 3.5% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.5% |
| Alex Bagnoni | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 14.5% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 12.9% |
| Jordan Vieira | 9.4% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.6% |
| Humberto Porrata | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 5.4% |
| Nathan Hjort | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 16.5% | 28.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.