← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Oregon State University-0.27+2.05vs Predicted
-
2University of Oregon-1.39+3.12vs Predicted
-
3University of Oregon-1.36+2.08vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University-0.54-0.70vs Predicted
-
5Western Washington University-0.84-0.90vs Predicted
-
6University of Oregon-1.48-0.81vs Predicted
-
7Gonzaga University-2.69+0.40vs Predicted
-
8Oregon State University-1.25-3.45vs Predicted
-
9Gonzaga University-2.60-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.05Oregon State University-0.2725.8%1st Place
-
5.12University of Oregon-1.397.6%1st Place
-
5.08University of Oregon-1.367.7%1st Place
-
3.3Western Washington University-0.5420.5%1st Place
-
4.1Western Washington University-0.8414.5%1st Place
-
5.19University of Oregon-1.488.0%1st Place
-
7.4Gonzaga University-2.691.9%1st Place
-
4.55Oregon State University-1.2511.3%1st Place
-
7.21Gonzaga University-2.602.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cassius Tossavainen | 25.8% | 20.8% | 17.3% | 14.8% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Zink | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 11.1% | 5.1% |
| Molly McLeod | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 16.7% | 12.2% | 4.2% |
| Allison Sasaki | 20.5% | 20.7% | 17.8% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Jack Beeson | 14.5% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 1.5% |
| Kate Ryan | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 16.8% | 12.0% | 6.0% |
| Kevin McGann | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 23.3% | 41.9% |
| Ethan Wickman | 11.3% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 2.8% |
| Gabi Feleciano | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 24.6% | 38.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.