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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.10+1.45vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.17+2.31vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.64+2.87vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.86+1.27vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.37+1.62vs Predicted
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6Florida State University0.42+4.02vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.94+1.08vs Predicted
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8The Citadel0.20+2.43vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.37+1.11vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.31-3.25vs Predicted
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11Wake Forest University0.10+0.03vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina0.00-0.71vs Predicted
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13Florida Institute of Technology0.78-4.33vs Predicted
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14Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.94+0.11vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-0.41-2.49vs Predicted
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16Georgia Institute of Technology-0.40-3.42vs Predicted
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17University of Central Florida-0.52-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45College of Charleston3.100.4%1st Place
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4.31Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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5.87Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
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5.27University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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6.62University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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10.02Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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8.08Clemson University0.940.0%1st Place
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10.43The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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10.11Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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6.75North Carolina State University1.310.1%1st Place
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11.03Wake Forest University0.100.0%1st Place
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11.29University of North Carolina0.000.0%1st Place
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8.67Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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14.11Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.940.0%1st Place
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12.51Embry-Riddle University-0.410.0%1st Place
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12.58Georgia Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
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12.89University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 36.9% | 23.9% | 17.6% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 13.3% | 16.2% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Vieira | 6.8% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 5.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% |
| Hilton Kamps | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Benjamin Usher | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Johnny Perkins | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 5.3% |
| Noah Jost | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 5.7% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Nathan Hjort | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 17.0% | 34.5% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 14.0% |
| Alex Bagnoni | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 14.6% |
| Julian Larsen | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 17.1% | 17.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.