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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.86+4.05vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.64+3.75vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.10-0.46vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.37+2.75vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.17-0.64vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.64+3.35vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.20+3.69vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.42+1.78vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.94-0.78vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina0.00+1.24vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.31-3.99vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-0.52+0.96vs Predicted
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13Wake Forest University0.10-1.93vs Predicted
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14Florida Institute of Technology0.78-5.17vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-0.41-2.43vs Predicted
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16Georgia Institute of Technology-0.40-3.31vs Predicted
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17Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.94-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.05University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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5.75Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
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2.54College of Charleston3.100.3%1st Place
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6.75University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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4.36Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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9.35Rollins College0.640.0%1st Place
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10.69The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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9.78Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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8.22Clemson University0.940.0%1st Place
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11.24University of North Carolina0.000.0%1st Place
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7.01North Carolina State University1.310.1%1st Place
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12.96University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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11.07Wake Forest University0.100.0%1st Place
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8.83Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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12.57Embry-Riddle University-0.410.0%1st Place
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12.69Georgia Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
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14.15Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Hardee | 11.2% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Vieira | 7.7% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 33.6% | 25.6% | 18.0% | 11.0% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 14.0% | 16.7% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shay Bridge | 3.0% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 2.7% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 2.0% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Noah Jost | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 5.5% |
| Benjamin Usher | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Julian Larsen | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 15.9% | 18.3% |
| Johnny Perkins | 1.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% |
| Brendan Smucker | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 16.6% | 14.1% |
| Alex Bagnoni | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 14.7% |
| Nathan Hjort | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 17.7% | 33.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.